MATHSPORT INTERNATIONAL 2019 CONFERENCE

 

---- Program ----

 

 

 

Crowne Plaza Hotel

Athens, 1-3 July 2019

Organized by AUEB Sports Analytics Group

 

Conference Sponsors

 

 


 

 

 

SUNDAY 30 JUNE 2019

19.30-21.30

Welcome Cocktail at Crowne Plaza Athens Hotel

 

 

 

MONDAY 1 JULY 2019

08:30-09:00

REGISTRATION

09:00-09:05

OPENING REMARKS

09:05-10:00

Plenary Session #1 (Chair: D. Karlis)

 

The Ancient Olympics: Events, Technology, Superstars, Women, Lessons for Them and for Us

By Professor Raymond Stefani, California State University, Long Beach, USA

10:00-11:40

Parallel Session 1A (Chair: S. Jenkings)

Invited Session on Sport Psychology

 

Pre-Game Speeches: Impact and Measurement

Vargas, Tiffanye       

 

Coaching Athletes with Hidden Disabilities: Collaborative research findings and measurement

Beyer, Robbi       

 

Assessing Mental Toughness

Madrigal, Leilani       

 

Using assessments to facilitate mental performance consulting

Hunt, Madison and Blevins, Anastasia

Parallel Session 1B (Chair: D. Goossens)

Design of Tournaments

 

Will Groups of 3 Ruin the World Cup?

Guyon, Julien       

 

 

Fair-Fixture: Minimizing Carry-Over Effects In Football Leagues

Günneç, Dilek and Demir, Ezgi

 

 

Quantifying the Evolution of

First-Class Rugby in New Zealand

Patel, Ankit; Bracewell, Paul and McIvor, Jack

 

Integrated Break and Carryover Minimization Problem in Round Robin Tournaments

Cavdaroglu, Burak and Atan, Tankut      

12:10-13:25

Parallel Session 2A (Chair: S. Drikos)

Player Performance and Evaluation

 

Maximizing financial and on-field performances when composing teams in soccer

Hvattum, Magnus Lars and Pantuso, Giovanni  

 

Econometric approach to assess the transfer value of professional football players

Besson, Roger; Poli, Raffaele and Ravenel, Loic     

 

Player impact measures for scoring in ice hockey

Sans Fuentes, Carles; Carlsson, Niklas and Lambrix, Patrick     

 

 

 

 

Parallel Session 2B (Chair: D. Karlis)

Inplay Analysis

 

Move it or lose it: Exploring the relation of defensive disruptiveness and team success

Kempe, Matthias and Goes, Floris      

 

 

Analysing the effect of a change of transition probabilities related to possession on scoring a goal in a football match

Hirotsu, Nobuyoshi and Komine, Ayako      

 

Predicting possession outcomes using spatiotemporal data in Australian Rules football

Spencer, Bartholomew; Jackson, Karl and Robertson, Sam     

 

 

13:30-14:30

LUNCH

14:30-16.10

Parallel Session 3A (Chair: N. Hirotsu)

Ranking of Teams and Athletes

     

Ranking Elite Swimmers using Extreme Value Theory

Spearing, Harry and Tawn, Jonathan      

 

 

Objectively Modelling the College Football Playoff Committee’s Selections

Trono, John

 

Parallel Session 3B (Chair: I. Ntzoufras)

Sports Modelling and Prediction

 

Modelling the outcomes of professional snooker matches

Collingwood, James; Wright, Michael and Brooks Roger     

 

Statistical Models of Horse Racing Outcomes Using R

Owen, Alun     

 

 

 

 

Ranking of Japanese University Baseball

Toriumi, Takashi       

 

Talent detection in sport: Machine Learning methods for performance prediction

Leroy, Arthur  

 

Extreme value prediction: an application to sport records

Fonseca, Giovanni and Giummolè, Federica      

 

Modelling Momentum in Football

Ötting, Marius; Langrock, Roland and Maruotti, Antonello     

16:10-16:40

COFFEE BREAK

16.40-17.40

Plenary Session #2 (Chair: P. Scarf)

 

Availability-to-train in elite sport

By Dr. Ioannis Kosmidis, Reader in Data Science, Department of Statistics, University of Warwick

 

17.40-19.45

Parallel Session 4A (Chair: M. Hvattum)

New Challenges in Sports

 

The explosive growth of eSports and the potential for research opportunities

Kee, Lyn; Huynh, Minh; Meyer, Denny and Marshall, Kelly     

 

Overcoming the incentive incompatibility of tournaments with multiple group stages

Csato, Laszlo       

 

Avoiding combinatorial clashes for the Champions Hockey League Group Stage Draw

Westphal, Stephan

 

 

Favorite longshot bias and betting margin: An insider’s perspective

Maras, Kostas

 

 

 

Parallel Session 4B (Chair: G. Hunter)

Understanding the Game

 

The Age Advantage in Youth Football

Lawrence, Steve; Jonker, Laura and Verbeek, Jan     

 

 

 

Modelling netball scores

Scarf, Phil; Baker, Rose and Parma, Rishikesh

 

 

Comparison between some European football leagues through related count data variables

Cueva, Valentina; Rodríguez-Avi, José and Olmo-Jiménez, María José   

 

Contextual information improves the accuracy of predicting the direction of serve in professional tennis

Yamamoto, Hiroyuki; Kudo, Kazutoshi; Buszard, Tim; Reid, Machar; Farrow, Damian and Kovalchik, Stephanie

 

Identifying Technical Functions of Footballers using Hierarchical Cluster Analysis

Unsoy, Orbay         

19:45-24.00

Free evening

 

 

 


 

TUESDAY 2 JULY 2019

09:05-10:00

Plenary Session #3 (Chair: R. Stefani)

 

Extensions of the Elo Rating System for Margin of Victory

By Dr Stephanie Kovalchik, Institute of Sport, Exercise and Active Living, Victoria University, Melbourne, Australia

10:00-11:40

Parallel Session 5A (Chair: S. Kovalchik)

Quantitative Methods in Tennis

 

Fame and Fortune in Elite Tennis Revisited

Meyer, Denny; Huynh, Minh; Marshall, Kelly and Pollard, Geoff    

 

Random Walks with Memory Applied to Grand Slam Tennis Matches Modeling

Kouřim, Tomáš       

 

 

Serve and Return Glicko: An approximate Bayesian model for within-match win prediction

Ingram, Martin       

 

Using a multi-camera tracking system to estimate ball spin in tennis

Cant, Olivia; Kovalchik, Stephanie;  Cross,  Rod and Reid, Machar     

Parallel Session 5B (Chair: A. Owen)

Prediction in Football (Soccer)

 

Score-based soccer match outcome modeling - an experimental review

Hubáček, Ondřej; Šourek, Gustav and Železný Filip     

 

Modelling the 2018 FIFA World Cup - Could we have "Beaten the Bookies" ?

Hunter, Gordon; Jauvion, Benjamin; Rashid  Ishan and Sharif-Ali, Mohamed

 

A Bayesian dynamical bivariate Poisson state space model for predicting football scores and results

Ridall, Peter       

 

Using the Poisson-Log-Normal Regression Model with Varying Dispersion to analyze soccer data

Tzougas, George and Karlis, Dimitris  

11:40-12:10

COFFEE BREAK

12:10-13:25

Parallel Session 6A (Chair: G. Fonseca)

Betting

 

Sports betting strategies: an experimental review

Uhrín, Matej; Šourek, Gustav; Hubáček, Ondřej and  Železný, Filip  

 

A Modern Love Story: Machine Learning and the Global Sports Betting Industry

Danzig, Lloyd     

 

 

 

 

Establishing a performance edge in P2P betting

Donovan, Carl; Caneco, Bruno and Bleak, Colin   

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  

Parallel Session 6B (Chair: I. Kosmidis)

Understanding the game using inplay analysis

 

Flexible multivariate point processes with applications to modelling football matches

Narayanan, Santhosh; Kosmidis, Ioannis and Dellaportas, Petros     

 

The influence of match phase and field position on collective team behaviour in Australian Rules football 

Alexander, Jeremy; Spencer, Bartholomew;  Sweeting, Alice; Mara, Jocelyn amd Robertson,  Sam 

 

Structuring Patterns in Team Movement and Performance from Vector Field Analysis and Fractal Dynamics

Zafar, Abdullah and Yousefian, Farzad    

13:30-14:30

LUNCH

14:30-16.10

Parallel Session 7A (Chair: V. Manasis)

Models and Methods for Volleyball

 

Modelling volleyball data using a Bayesian approach

Egidi, Leonardo and Ntzoufras, Ioannis     

 

A quantitative method for evaluating the skills of national volleyball teams

Konaka, Eiji       

 

Bayesian Modelling of Volleyball Sets

Palaskas, Vasileios; Ntzoufras, Ioannis and  Drikos, Sotiris    

 

Complex-1 in Male Volleyball as a Markov Chain

Drikos, Sotiris

 

 

Parallel Session 7B (Chair: F. Spieksma)

Scheduling of Sport Events

 

Lessons Learned in Scheduling the Finnish Major Ice Hockey League

Nurmi, Kimmo; Kyngäs, Jari and Kyngäs, Nico     

 

On the flexibility of Home-Away pattern sets

Lambers, Roel; Goossens, Dries and Spieksma, Frits     

 

Rest Differences among Teams in European Football Leagues

Atan, Tankut and Cavdaroglu, Burak      

 

Iterated Local Search for Multi-league Scheduling Problems

Repoussis, Panagiotis and Gisler, Walter      

 

        

16:10-16:40

COFFEE BREAK

16.40-17.40

Plenary Session #4 (Chair: S. Drikos)

 

 Sports Coaching: An Art and a Science

 By Professor Simon Jenkins, Department of Sport, Exercise and Health, University of Winchester

 

 

17.40-19.00

Free Time

Free time

19:00-24.00

Departure for Dinner at Karaiskaki Stadium

 

 

 

 


 

 

WEDNESDAY 3 JULY 2019

09:05-10:00

Plenary Session #5 (Chair: I. Ntzoufras)

 

Winning in Basketball with Data and Machine Learning

By Dr Konstantinos Pelechrinis , School of Computing and Information, University of Pittsburgh

10:00-11:40

Parallel Session 8A (Chair: K. Pelechrinis)

 Prediction in Basketball and Football

 

Combining the Four Factors with the Generalized PageRank (GeM) model for NBA Basketball

Twersky, Georgia; Lyman, George and Pilkington, Anne

 

New Performance Measures for the NBA: An Indirect Evolutionary Game Theory Approach

Obrien, John and Fichman, Mark      

 

A hybrid random forest to predict soccer matches in international tournaments

Van Eetvelde, Hans; Ley, Christophe; Groll,  Andreas and Schauberger, Gunther

 

Alternative count regression models for modeling football outcomes

Barbiero, Alessandro       

 

Parallel Session 8B (Chair: P. Repousis)

Fairness and Design Effect in Football (Soccer)

 

Fair sudden death

Lambers, Roel and Spieksma Frits      

 

 

 

 

Perspectives on Fairness in Sport

Potts, Chris       

 

 

 

An evaluation of the three-point rule in football

Koevoets, Wim     

 

 

Champions League or domestic league: a coach’s choice

Goossens, Dries; Wang, Chang and Vandebroek, Martina   

11:40-12:10

COFFEE BREAK

12:10-13:50

Parallel Session 9A (Chair: S. Kechagias)

Inplay Prediction  

 

Predicting match outcome in professional Dutch football using tactical performance metrics computed from position tracking data

Goes, Floris; Kempe, Matthias and Lemmink, Koen   

 

Randomness of Play Calling in College Football

Curley, Brian; Hopkirk, Gretchen; Lokhorst,  Ryan and Pilkington, Annette

 

Survival Modelling of Goal Arrival Times in Champions League

Leriou, Ilias; Ntzoufras, Ioannis and Karlis, Dimitris   

 

Detection of Playing Style of Football Teams and Players using Latent Dirichlet Allocation

Perdomo Meza, David 

 

 

 

 

Parallel Session 9B (Chair: P. Ridall)

Game Strategy & Decision Making  

 

Finding optimal strategies for substitutions in soccer using a two-scale Markov Decision Process approach

Rambau, Jörg and Richter, Rónán      

 

 

 

Play-by-play data analysis for team managing in basketball

Grassetti, Luca; Bellio, Ruggero; Fonseca,  Giovanni and Vidoni, Paolo   

 

Passing tactical relevance during soccer matches determined by machine learning

Merlin, Murilo; Moura, Felipe; Torres, Ricardo; Principe, Vitor and Cunha, Sergio Augusto

 

 

13:50-14:00

CLOSING REMARKS

14:00-15:00

LUNCH

15.00-16.30

Free time

 

16.30-19.00

(Informal Walk in Panathinaic Stadium and the City Center)